Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 85.308536 95.302411 105.480539 116.591087 128.347849 140.389673 153.627250
2025-08-03 68.605201 82.939037 98.161671 115.405922 134.277878 154.193913 176.693107
2025-08-10 59.428240 76.251400 94.674806 116.091132 140.061725 165.848862 195.478187
2025-08-17 51.484408 69.901135 90.652438 115.337031 143.506513 174.302502 210.180773
2025-08-24 45.642498 65.302688 88.034565 115.625659 147.634967 183.099299 224.884636
2025-08-31 39.974828 60.360743 84.552701 114.498020 149.785651 189.370056 236.492039
2025-09-07 36.404518 57.655203 83.448549 115.907403 154.650947 198.548684 251.233902
2025-09-14 33.472872 55.490423 82.787227 117.660567 159.767494 207.898579 266.077071
2025-09-21 29.703157 51.921468 80.139658 116.797159 161.613355 213.325610 276.303567
2025-09-28 25.739180 47.762947 76.487871 114.475641 161.527296 216.347037 283.620243
2025-10-05 24.780916 47.680092 78.022697 118.566915 169.158829 228.424729 301.463169
2025-10-12 23.303213 46.732538 78.335395 121.048449 174.778928 238.091712 316.472456
2025-10-19 20.820691 44.161022 76.397078 120.615169 176.814540 243.527664 326.587667
2025-10-26 18.399280 41.478845 74.166252 119.694034 178.165423 248.091043 335.641693
2025-11-02 16.721726 39.800129 73.209015 120.348060 181.417465 254.895909 347.317829
2025-11-09 14.768685 37.499785 71.254611 119.585336 182.807879 259.388536 356.196222
2025-11-16 13.299112 35.860853 70.147315 119.878897 185.483208 265.407479 366.873983
2025-11-23 11.580586 33.616135 68.040178 118.727658 186.238096 269.020883 374.620199
2025-11-30 10.665537 32.714831 67.860749 120.166720 190.302309 276.692120 387.255696
2025-12-07 9.905886 32.027155 67.957713 121.956629 194.803351 284.895767 400.536985
2025-12-14 8.613943 30.174144 66.184974 121.075155 195.768559 288.673837 408.418500
2025-12-21 7.150676 27.770386 63.425657 118.704781 194.700140 289.856396 413.089131
2025-12-28 7.073316 28.268679 65.265136 122.881879 202.302658 301.919820 431.088580